It has been nearly four months since Canadian voters headed to the polls. After a historic election, where do the federal parties and their leaders stand with the electorate? New polling numbers suggest a minor change in support.
Over the weekend, Nanos Research released a poll for CTV News and the Globe and Mail that outlined the level of support for each federal political party in Canada. The numbers have slightly changed since the May federal election.
According to the CTV/Globe and Mail/Nanos poll polling numbers, Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Conservatives – now the governing majority – have taken a slight hit in its popularity. The telephone survey suggested that the Tories have lost 5.6 percent support down to 36.2 percent.
Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaking at event in the Greater Toronto Area.
Meanwhile, the New Democrats, which had a momentous election by becoming the official Opposition to the Conservatives, are down by 1.2 percentage points to 26.8 percent. Analysts suggest that the NDP has taken a small dip since Jack Layton took a temporary leave of absence to battle a new cancer.
The Liberals, who took a massive beating in May’s election, have gained some support in recent weeks. Interim Leader Bob Rae’s Grits are up 4.7 percent to 27 percentage points.
“What we are seeing is a possible negative wake for the New Democrats with (Layton's) announcement. We are seeing the Liberals' numbers moving up as a result,” said pollster Nik Nanos in an interview with CTV News.
“If we rewind to the last election, in Quebec, it was about Jack Layton, his charisma, his policy and his charm. He really swept the province as a result. Quebec is going to be a key region to watch in terms of those NDP numbers as a result of Jack Layton not being active.”
The Green Party and Bloc Quebecois both sit at just above four percent.
The telephone survey was conducted between July 25 and August 2 with 1,203 randomly selected Canadian adults. The national phone poll contains a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.